Introduction To Cashflow Analysis

Table of Contents , 9th Edition, 310 pp.

Introduction vii-viii

       Chapter 1: Present Values, Future Values

Cashflow Definitions, Negative and Positive
The Sign Convention
Positive or Negative Cashflow as a Relative Concept
Analyzing Cashflows from a Single Vantage Point
T–Bar Representation of Cashflow
Mathematical relationships PV, FV
Using the Calculator's Financial Register
Discounting, Discounting Trust Deed Notes
n   Delivered Only As Integer
Determining a Yield from Even Payments
Distinguishing Between PMTs and FV
Present Value of Annuities in Perpetuity
Present Value of Finite Annuities, Ordinary and Annuity Due
Present Value of Perpetual Annuities Adjusted for Growth Factor
Present Value of Finite Annuities Adjusted for Growth Factor
Adjusting Rates to Compensate for Inflation
Interest Rates, Nominal vs. Effective
Continuous Compounding & Discounting
Derivation and Use of Epsilon (e)

        Chapters 2 : Working With Uneven Cashflows

Alternate Financial Register
Adding Cashflows To A Series
Using Nj To Indicate Repeating Cashflows
Limitations on the Number of Cashflows
Adjusting for Incorrect Entries in CFj and Nj
Discounting Cashflows from Leases
Net Present Value, Definition and Determination
Discount Rate Varies with Risk
Return on Investment (ROI)
NPV of an Income-Producing Realty
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Negative Cashflows and the IRR
PMTs Occurring at the Beginning of the Period
PV & NPV on Computer Spreadsheet
Handling Series which Exceeds Calculator Capacity
Valuing Uneven Cashflows from Small Business Opportunities

Chapter 3: Annuities & Rates

Perpetual annuities
Ordinary annuities, annuities due
Determining required payments
Nominal vs. effective rates
Using the Inflation Adjusted Rate
Continuous compounding, discounting
Adjusting rates to compensatre for inflation
Graduate Payment Annuity
Calculating changes in CPI

Chapter 4: The Internal & Modified Rates of Return

Definition of IRR 
IRR Under Different Aliases
Iteration
IRR by Construction
IRR by Interpolation
Meaning of the IRR
Limitations to the IRR, real and imagined
Possible Multiple IRRs for the Same Cashflow
Reinvestment Rate of Payments – Does It Matter?
IRR and Negative Payments
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)(FMRR)
Geometric Rate of Return

         Chapter 5: Cashflows from Stocks

Valuing Cashflows from Stocks
Market Capitalization Rate, Stocks
Capitalization of Dividend
Contribution of Growth to Price
Components of Market Capitalization Rate
The Re-Investment Ratio
Rate of Return on Equity (ROE)
Contribution of IRR of New Projects to Stock Value
Growth without Dividends
Price/Earnings Ratio
PEG Ratio
Safe Rate of Return
Cashflows from REITs
Free Cashflow per Share

        Chapter 6: Cashflows from Bonds

Coupon Rates and Maturity Dates
When Bonds Are Called
Bond Terminology: Rates, Ticks, Bid, Ask and Yield-To-Maturity 
Calculating Bond Yields
Determining Bond Price, Given a Yield
Determining Bond Yield Using Call Dates
Spot Rate for Money
Term Structure of Interest Rates, Yield Curves
Bond Duration
Convexity of Yield Curve
Macauly's Duration Factor
Calculation of Bond Duration
Factors Determining Bond Duration
Using Duration to Estimate Bond Price
Using Duration to Estimate Bond Portfolio Price Change
Zero Coupon Bonds
Volatility
Duration of Zero Coupon Bonds
Taxation of Zero Coupon Bonds
Use of Zero Bonds as Planning Tool


Chapter 7: Risk Analysis

Components of Discount Rate
Safe Rate and Inflation
Expected Rate of Return
Deviation & Variance of historical returns
Deviation & Variance of expected (probable) returns
Meaning of Deviation
Empirical Rule
Semi-Variance
Semi-Standard Deviation
Sharpe's Index of Risk
Risk of Portfolio of stocks
Unique (Unsystematic) vs. Market (Systematic) risk
Correlation coefficient
Covariance
Market Portfolio Theory
Beta, Alpha
R-Squared
Monte Carlo Simulation
Bond Ratings, S& P, Moody's

Chapter 8: Cashflows from Promissory Notes & Mortgages

Distinguishing Mortgages & Trust Deed Loans 
Fixed Rate, Amortizing Mortgage
The Amortization Schedule
Determining the Payment Necessary
Solving for n, the Number of Periods
Solving for a Balloon Payment
Solving for the Interest Rate i
Payments when the Period is Not Monthly
Constructing an Amortization Schedule
Mortgage Interest Paid in Arrears (Ordinary Annuity)
Creating Amortization Schedules Using the HP 12C
Determining Remaining Balances
The Adjustable Rate Mortgage
Margin, or Spread
Negatively Amortizing Mortgage
Base Indices
Cost of Funds Index 
Teaser Rates
ARMS Subject to Significant Lender Errors
Progress of an ARM 
Basis Points, Definition (footnote)
Amortization Schedule
Determining Maximum Interest Rate  
Limit On Payment Increases  
Why PMTs May Not Decline 
Recasting an ARM
When to Choose an ARM Over a Fixed-Rate Mortgage
Buydown Mortgages
3-2-1 and Other Arrangements
Developer Buys Out 
Determining Builder’s Paydown
Buydown Available to Private Home Sellers
All-Inclusive Deed Of Trust Mortgage
Capital Structures
"Subject to" Clauses
Assuming a Loan 
Calculating the Yield
Constructing an AITD to Produce a Specified Yield 
AITDs Using Adjustable Interest Rates
Multiple Notes Underlying an AITD
Escrow AITD Payments 
CAVEAT
Loan Constants, Debt and Loan Ratios, APRs
Monthly Loan Constants
Residential Loan Underwriting Guidelines
Use of Front-End & Back-End Ratios 
Loan-to-Value Ratios 
Debt Service (Coverage) Ratios
Annual Percentage Rate (APR)  
Graduated Payment Mortgage, GPM Annuity 
Discounted Value of the Payments  
Determining the Payments 
GPM Loan Factors 
Commercial Applications of Concept  
Application of GPM Concept to Financial Planning 

Chapter 9: Valuing Cashflows from Real Estate


Capitalization Rates    
Source of Capitalization Rates  
Why the Capitalization Rate Changes   
The Rate of Return OF Capital  
The Rate of Return ON Capital  
Required Return Rates and Risk  
Band of Investments Approach  
Strengths and Weaknesses of the Cap Rate 
Market Value vs. Investment Value   
Cash-on-Cash, Gross Rent Multipliers   
Distinguishing ROI, ROE, IRR   
Why Monitor Equity Buildup  
Utilizing Discounted Cash Flow Analysis 
Pre-tax or After-tax? 
Determining Pre-tax & After-tax Cashflows  
Developing a Pro-Forma  
Choosing the Correct Depreciation Schedule 
Importance of Assumptions  
Choosing Depreciation Schedule   
How Loan Points are Handled  
Determining the Original Basis  
Adjusted Basis at Time of Disposition 
Reversion Value (FV) of the Investment Property 
Estimating Final Gross Sales Price  
Capital Gains and Capital Gains Tax
Recapture of Depreciation  
Estimate of Net Proceeds 
Selecting an Appropriate Discount Rate 

Chapter 10: Effect of Leverage on Investment Cashflows

Definition of Leverage 
Neutral, Positive, Negative Leverage 
Benefits and Risks of Leverage  
Effect of Leverage on ROE 
Determining Maximum Leverage   
Effect of Leverage on IRR  
 

Chapter 11: Problems and Their Answers
 
Appendix:
    Formulas for Cashflows
    Using the Inflation-adjusted interest rate (IAR) 

Glossary

Index 

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